No man can be a Politician, except he be first an Historian or a Traveller; for except he can see what Must be, or what May be, he is no Politician: Now, if he have no knowledge in story, he cannot tell what hath been; and if he that not been a Traveller, he cannot tell what is: but he that neither knoweth what hath been, nor what is; can never tell what must be, or what may be. - James Harrington, THE COMMONWEALTH OF OCEANA, 1656
Wednesday, February 04, 2004
David Brooks on CIA's bad methodology
Brooks says that the problem at the CIA is its method, which aims at determining things scientifically, as if it were the weather service.
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